Let's Make a Deal!
Forums › General Discussion › Let's Make a Deal!-
Holy hell people
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@ Amish, my post was directed at Brown notes, you just posted before I did :P
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Bruenors right.switch
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People gotta stop googling and stick to your guns.
http://turfwarswiki.com/dealer/paradox.php
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You have a 1/3 chance of being right when you pick, so you're probably wrong. Therefore it's better to switch.
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You pick a door, there is a 1/3 chanse that the prize is behind that door. (2/3 that it is behind another door) the other door is then opened, but there is still only 1/3 chanse that the prize is behind your door, so the 2/3 chanse is on the 3rd door
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Brad Lovegrove wrote:
That's nice and concise.You have a 1/3 chance of being right when you pick, so you're probably wrong. Therefore it's better to switch.
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the destroyer 3 wrote:
You can't use that, because the natural belief will always be that when one door is thrown out, the odds change.You pick a door, there is a 1/3 chanse that the prize is behind that door. (2/3 that it is behind another door) the other door is then opened, but there is still only 1/3 chanse that the prize is behind your door, so the 2/3 chanse is on the 3rd door
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Brown🎵Note😲 wrote:
I think I see what you're saying. Common sense is that it's a fifty fifty chance, but in this case common sense is wrong.the destroyer 3 wrote:
You can't use that, because the natural belief will always be that when one door is thrown out, the odds change.You pick a door, there is a 1/3 chanse that the prize is behind that door. (2/3 that it is behind another door) the other door is then opened, but there is still only 1/3 chanse that the prize is behind your door, so the 2/3 chanse is on the 3rd door
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😳
Omg I think I won..
👊 HELL YEAH TAKE THAT
HIGHSCHOOL DEBATE FREAKS, I CAN WIN AN ARGUMENT. 😁 -
ZRAYGO wrote:
That's why Monty Hall gave away very few cars, and exposed lots of goats.Brown🎵Note😲 wrote:
I think I see what you're saying. Common sense is that it's a fifty fifty chance, but in this case common sense is wrong.the destroyer 3 wrote:
You can't use that, because the natural belief will always be that when one door is thrown out, the odds change.You pick a door, there is a 1/3 chanse that the prize is behind that door. (2/3 that it is behind another door) the other door is then opened, but there is still only 1/3 chanse that the prize is behind your door, so the 2/3 chanse is on the 3rd door
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It was a very good episode of Mythbusters. Every single one of their dozens of contestants did it wrong.
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So this show is on one of the tv's in the gym every afternoon so I've seen a lot of it while inbetween lifting weights for a month now. This show is so odd, watching people dressed as a glob of grapes trying to win cars by picking doors
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Turf🐑Warrior wrote:
Take the box! Take the box!So this show is on one of the tv's in the gym every afternoon so I've seen a lot of it while inbetween lifting weights for a month now. This show is so odd, watching people dressed as a glob of grapes trying to win cars by picking doors
That show is still on? I haven't seen it since the early 70's.
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Wayne Brady is the host now. Monty hall was better. Without googling, what was the chicks name?
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You should ask me what door than chose the other one. I have shit for luck in stuff like that.
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🔰Bཞuęℵǿཞ🔰 wrote:
You are giving the choice a second time with only 2 doors, so it's 50/50Brown🎵Note😲 wrote:
Dam you I know what I'm saying, how does it not make sense to you?🔰Bཞuęℵǿཞ🔰 wrote:
Stop clouding the issue with crazy math.But it's not 2 doors. It's a 3 for equation, with one variable moved to .1 for you. Looks like this.. variables for percent chance.
A(x)+B(y)+C(z)=100%A(33.3)+B(33.3)+C(33.3)=100(99.9)
Let's say A is opend.
A(0)+B(33.3)+C(66.6)=100(99.9)
One door will always be thrown out, so it's always a choice between 2 doors. How can your thinking about a door change the odds?
Nope. Flip a coin.
NO MATTER IF THE DOOR IS OPEND, it's still 3 doors it could have been behind, not only 2.
3 doors, 3 variables, even if the one is 0 it still devides the 100% by 3 -
That would stink if you switched and it was the one you had orignaly! 😓
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🔰Bཞuęℵǿཞ🔰 wrote:
Well done Bruenor. I read the OP and you beat me to the punch. 😄😳
Omg I think I won..
👊 HELL YEAH TAKE THAT
HIGHSCHOOL DEBATE FREAKS, I CAN WIN AN ARGUMENT. 😁
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