Successful attacks

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💙ⒶⒹⒹ🅢🅦🅐🅖🅖🅔🅡💙 Aug 26, 2010

I've read in a post that the best way to check if an attack will be successful is to add up your attack and compare it to their defence. The post also stated that a ratio of 1.3 attack to 1 defence is most likely to succeed.
Is there also a point where attacks are almost guaranteed to fail?
Dr. Robotnik Aug 26, 2010

I would guess, that there is no advantage given to the attacker or defender and fights are only decided on the number of points used by each player, as well as the random factor. So, if that is the case, the point at which you are almost guaranteed to lose is when the ratio is 1 attack to 1.3 defense.
💙ⒶⒹⒹ🅢🅦🅐🅖🅖🅔🅡💙 Aug 26, 2010

Or 0.7, falling between that and 1.3 would be hit and miss.
I've made a calculator in excel that compares my attack and defence with someone elses. The theory being I can check to see if I hit them will I succeed and just as importantly, if they will hit me would they win.
💙ⒶⒹⒹ🅢🅦🅐🅖🅖🅔🅡💙 Aug 26, 2010

That's the magic figure :). My calculator will show green for a high chance of a win, red for low and yellow for in between.
Dr. Robotnik Aug 26, 2010

It's wouldn't be .70. You have to divide both sides of the ratio by the same number.
Attack 1/1.3=.769
Defend 1.3/1.3=1
But yea. Excel chart good idea. I'm pretty sure you could work out a pretty good win/loss probability for each attack/defend ratio. Would need some experimentation.
💙ⒶⒹⒹ🅢🅦🅐🅖🅖🅔🅡💙 Aug 26, 2010

I've uploaded it to Stardrive http://cid-1cd3b770a0eee23a.office.live.com/view.aspx/.Public/Turf%20Wars%20Calculator-blank.xls
Dr. Robotnik Aug 26, 2010

By the way like I said I'm just guessing. It might not be based on ratio at all. it could be simple points difference I really don't know.
💙ⒶⒹⒹ🅢🅦🅐🅖🅖🅔🅡💙 Aug 26, 2010

It's a starting point :)
Rex☠Splode Aug 27, 2010

I think the 1.3 to 1 was based off of mob size, fully equipped. I found when attacking you need at least 85-90% of the def. to be successful even 10% of the time. Have you tested your numbers?
Dr. Robotnik Aug 27, 2010

85-90% isn't far off what we guessed. If 77% was the minimum to get any chance of winning, then 85-90 could be around .1 probability (10%). I would test an work it out but I have exams coming up so no time really.